Question 1

How does "Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?" resolve?

Accepted Answer

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Digital Asset Market Clarity Act of 2025 (H.R.3633) is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source is Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/3633) and other official information from the government of the United States, however other credible reporting may be used.

Imported from Predict.fun — trading and resolution follow the venue rules. Trading closes at 2027-01-01T05:00:00.000Z and the market settles at 2027-01-01T05:00:00.000Z via Predict.fun's resolution process; Conviction mirrors this market.

Question 2

What does the YES price mean?

Accepted Answer

The YES side is currently trading at 6%, which the market is pricing as the probability the event resolves YES. 1 YES share pays $1 if the event occurs.